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May 29, 2003

Time to get serious in Afghanistan

There is an excellent OpEd column in today's WSJ calling for the US to step up and embrace expansion of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) to provide security outside of Kabul.   (Subscription required, email me if want to read it and I'll send it on.)   This is an important issue, for both moral and strategic reasons.

Morally, we should not allow Afghanistan to slide back into anarchy and civil war.   The US played a big part in helping create the current situtation in the country by our efforts during the 1980s to arm Afghani mujihadeen to resist the Soviet occupation and its puppet regime.   Afterwards, when some of the Islamist, Wahabbi allies of these same mujihadeen attacked us on 9/11, we responded by conclusively intervening in Afghanistan's civil war.   We owe it to this proud and independent people to finish the job and re-build a peaceful, stable society in Afghanistan.

Strategically, it would be a huge mistake to allow chaos and warlordism to return to Afghanistan.   One reason is that it would undercut US credibility throughout the Muslim world.   Another reason is that a fragmented, lawless Afghanistan would provide a useful sanctuary for Islamist guerillas and Al Queda to regroup.

As Ahmed Rashid and Barnett Rubin eloquently frame the issue in their column:

People in Iraq and elsewhere are watching to see if the U.S. is committed not only to defeating regimes it sees as threats, but to providing security and governance to the long-suffering peoples of those countries. They will draw their conclusions according to the results.
For my part, this is just another reason why we need to create a new branch of the US military dedicated to this type of "less than combat" military operation.   (For more on this idea, see here and here.)

May 29, 2003 at 10:28 AM | Permalink

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Comments

Agreed. We need to help Afghanistan grow into a stable democratic country. But getting and then keeping the necessary resources there, in the midst of Iraq and the Israeli/Palestinian peace process, will be difficult. It's a matter of getting our people and our government to give the problem some serious thought and focus. But people just don't seem to care about politics unless there is a big crisis staring them in the face. I don't understand how we could have put so many resources and so much effort into going into Afghanistan, a place we know can slip back into being a hotbed of terrorist activity, and then, less than two years after September 11th, we have let our commitment there weaken to the point that, except in Kabul, the country is being ruled by warlords. Is it just a really difficult thing to do; to police a country until a real police force and rules of law and order can develop? Or is it something else?

Posted by: BA | May 30, 2003 10:27:07 PM

Depends on the country, I would guess. Afghanistan is one tough nut. Where would we start? Round up all the warlords and imprison or kill them? Buy them off? With what, exactly? What proud tribal chieftan wielding absolute power is going to come to the table and relinquish some of that power to a coalition?

The problem with many of the countries that are currently imploding (Afghanistan, DRC, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Sudan) is that they are not countries at all, but territories made up of clans that have been artificially cobbled together by colonialism. So where do we go from here with that? Re-draw the countries? I don't see the Western corporate oligarchies getting behind that.

The only way to change something this big is to allocate enough resources to hold down the fort for 15 years or so, create an effective education program, and wait it out until a generation enlightened to new cultural modalities is in place. Unfortunately, one of the only institutions around today that is hip to the power of education is militant Islam.

Posted by: | Jun 1, 2003 10:56:00 AM

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